The Most At-Risk Flights in Europe: The Situation for the Week of June 29, 2026
The week starting June 29, 2026, presents a rather delicate situation for some European airports and routes, with an average increase in risk due to factors such as adverse weather conditions, air traffic control (ATC) problems, and staff strikes.
The 10 Most At-Risk European Airports This Week
Here is the ranking of the top 10 airports with the highest average risk score according to FlightGuard:
| Airport | IATA Code | Risk Score | Number of Routes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Évreux-Fauville Airport (EAP) | EAP | 30.5 | 15 |
| Region of Murcia International Airport (Corvera) (RMU) | RMU | 29.8 | 5 |
| Bolzano Airport (BZO) | BZO | 28.7 | 9 |
| Rio Grande do Norte/São Gonçalo do Amarante (Natal) (NAT) | NAT | 25.4 | 19 |
| Lugano Airport (Agno) (LUG) | LUG | 23 | 9 |
| Marsa Alam International Airport (RMF) | RMF | 23 | 9 |
| Catania-Fontanarossa Airport (CTA) | CTA | 22.9 | 536 |
| Berlin Brandenburg Airport (BER) | BER | 22.8 | 45 |
| Innsbruck Airport (INN) | INN | 22.8 | 41 |
| Brno-Tuřany Airport (BRQ) | BRQ | 22.4 | 9 |
Comment: The airports with the highest risk this week tend to be medium-small sized such as Évreux (EAP), Murcia (RMU), and Bolzano (BZO), often characterized by more limited infrastructures that are vulnerable to difficult weather conditions or reduced control staff. Bolzano and Innsbruck, for example, are alpine airports subject to sudden weather changes that complicate flight management.
Catania (CTA), with over 500 routes, has a lower average risk, but the large number of routes means possible chain reactions in case of delays or operational problems. Berlin Brandenburg (BER) remains a focus partly due to recurring air traffic control issues and possible strikes.
The 10 Most At-Risk Routes This Week
| Route | Risk Score |
|---|---|
| MXP -> ALC | 49.6 |
| SCL -> LHR | 49.4 |
| FKB -> SOF | 47.4 |
| LIS -> FLN | 47.2 |
| BER -> PMI | 45.8 |
| BRI -> EDI | 45.2 |
| ISB -> LGW | 44.8 |
| MXP -> TFS | 44.8 |
| BVA -> FCO | 44.6 |
| KRK -> BCN | 44.4 |
Analysis: The routes that stand out with the highest risk are connections between major hub airports and tourist destinations. Milan Malpensa (MXP) to Alicante (ALC) or Tenerife South (TFS) sees an increased risk due to seasonal congestion and variable weather conditions. The Santiago (SCL) to London Heathrow (LHR) route is also at elevated levels, affected by ATC strikes and traffic restrictions.
Routes such as Berlin Brandenburg (BER) to Palma de Mallorca (PMI) suffer from delays due to continuous operational changes and stretched ATC staff. Some intra-European routes like Brindisi (BRI) to Edinburgh (EDI) and Warsaw (KRK) to Barcelona (BCN) are affected by capacity problems and bad weather.
Why Are Some Airports and Routes More At Risk?
- Adverse weather: Alpine airports (Bolzano, Innsbruck) or those in areas subject to summer thunderstorms (Lugano, Marsa Alam) can experience closures or significant operational slowdowns.
- ATC and staff strikes: Announced or sudden strikes in countries with strong union organization, like Germany (BER), large airport hubs, or airports with limited services increase risk.
- Summer congestion: Increased traffic at tourist airports creates chain delays and overloads operators and infrastructure.
- Infrastructure limitations: Airports with single runways or small terminals have less capacity to absorb delays and unexpected flows.
Practical Tips for Travelers
1. Always check your flight’s status before heading to the airport. You can easily do this with our flight risk check service.
2. Arrive at the airport well in advance, at least 2-3 hours before intercontinental flights or flights in high-risk airports.
3. Prepare a backup plan: consider alternative travel options in case of cancellations or very long delays.
4. Keep your phone number and email updated with the airline to receive official communications immediately.
5. Check weather and strike risk conditions in the departure and arrival areas.
6. If your flight goes through airports like Milan Malpensa (MXP), Berlin Brandenburg (BER), or Catania (CTA), consider travel insurance against delays and cancellations.
Further Insights on At-Risk Airports and Routes
- Fiumicino Airport (FCO), involved in the BVA -> FCO route, is experiencing issues with the flight control system and intermittent strikes.
- London Heathrow (LHR), a destination of a high-risk route, has announced new measures to improve passenger flow but remains vulnerable to ATC strikes.
- For details on airlines involved in the most critical routes, visit FlightGuard’s pages on airlines such as Ryanair (FR) and easyJet (U2).
Sources
All information and data are updated and based on FlightGuard sources. For more details and up-to-date data, check our dedicated section:
Want to know if your next flight is at risk? Check your flight risk on FlightGuard.
